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DOGEUSD long — 24 Aug 2026 (stopped out)

This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.092644 and stopped out at 0.09055 after 2.1 hours, closing at -2.26%.

AssetDOGEUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-08-24 11:39
Entry0.092644
Stop-loss0.09055
Take-profit 10.094208
Take-profit 2 (stretch)0.09525
Reward:risk at entry1.24
Outcomestopped out
Close price0.09055
Realized P&L-2.26%
Time open2.1 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m mixed, 15m bear, 1h/4h bull), 4h ADX 48.8 strong-up but 1h ADX only 9.1 slope -0.67 (chop-grade, fading), ER-10 0.29 / ER-30 0.17 / choppiness 64 (path netting nowhere), Hurst 0.39 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.8% — a strong 4h uptrend deeply stalled into chop_high_vol (z +1.44, RV-24h 55th pctile, 4h RSI 64.7). 2. LEAN CHECK: net-bull structural tape — 4h EMA stack bull, ADX 48.8, top-traders heavily long — leans long despite near-term drift. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is positioning + trend alignment — top_trader_pos_ratio 4.78 (heavily long) with 4h bull_aligned/ADX 48.8; this asset's track record is dominantly long-winning in this exact stalled-uptrend regime. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI accelerating_down (agg -0.89%, oi_15m_z -1.45) + taker 1h 0.89 (sell-tilted) + funding_momentum negative (unwinding) — if 5d-high resistance (-6.2%) holds and OI keeps bleeding, longs get faded lower. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.092644; stop below recent chop swing at 0.09055 (~2.26% risk, within ~0.8x the ~4% 24h range); stretch TP 0.09525 (~2.8% up, R:R ~1.24, inside 1.5x clamp) targeting a retest toward the 5d-high shelf. 6. EXPECTATION: chop regime with a modest bull lean and one contradicting flow cluster — p_tp1 44 / p_sl 38 / p_expire 18.

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