HYPEUSD long — 24 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on HYPEUSD entered at 80.3295 and stopped out at 78.41 after 2.1 hours, closing at -2.39%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-24 11:39 |
| Entry | 80.3295 |
| Stop-loss | 78.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 81.6018 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 82.45 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.19 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 78.41 |
| Realized P&L | -2.39% |
| Time open | 2.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m mixed, 1h/4h bull_aligned) with 4h ADX 60/RSI 63 (strong but extended higher-TF trend) yet 1h ADX only 15.2 slope -0.24 (fading toward chop), ER-10 0.03/ER-30 0.13 (very noisy, netting nowhere), choppiness 42.6, Hurst 0.43 (mean-reverting), HMM volatile conf 0.93 — an extended bull structure that is chopping just -2.56% below its 5d/20d/90d high, rolling z +1.34, rv_24h 60th pctile. 2. LEAN CHECK: intact 4h bull stack + top-trader pos ratio 1.89 (heavily net-long) + 1h taker buy/sell 1.14 favor the long side despite the noisy path; OI bleeding (-7.3% 24h, accelerating_down) is the counterweight but this asset's own track record shows the long-the-dip play winning repeatedly. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 4h EMA stack bull with ADX 60 and RSI 62.7, top traders positioned 1.89 long, and price is only pulling back near its recent high, the same setup that has produced +2.4/+3.5/+3.8% wins here. 4. PRE-MORTEM: accelerating_down OI (-9.2% recent half, oi_15m_z -1.89) means longs are unwinding — a break below the 12h correction low with continued OI bleed invalidates the dip-buy. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent swing/invalidation at 78.55 (~2.2% risk, ~0.44x the 24h ~5% traversal), stretch target 82.45 (~2.6% up, R:R ~1.2, inside clamps) at the prior local supply near the 5d high. 6. EXPECTATION: noisy chop regime with intact trend tempers conviction — p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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