DOGEUSD long — 25 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.092697 and stopped out at 0.09035 after 5.1 hours, closing at -2.53%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-25 02:43 |
| Entry | 0.092697 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09035 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.094469 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.09565 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.26 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.09035 |
| Realized P&L | -2.53% |
| Time open | 5.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h bull_aligned (ADX 41, RSI 62) but 1h ADX only 13 (chop-grade), ER-30 0.007 / choppiness 53 / Hurst 0.39 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.9% — a strong 4h uptrend stalled into chop_high_vol (z +1.29, RV-24h 62nd pctile). 2. LEAN CHECK: net-bull structural backdrop — 4h EMA stack up, fresh +3.37% net 4h momentum, top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 4.43, account ratio 3.49), F&G 74 Greed; lean long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the strongest cluster is HTF trend + fresh momentum — 4h bull with RSI 62 and a sharp +3.37%/4h push, top-trader positioning firmly long, this asset's own track record favors the long side in this exact regime (won +2.56/+0.46/+1.51 recent chop longs). 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI accelerating_down (-2.09% recent half, oi_momentum accelerating_down) with oi_change_24h -2% means the push lacks fresh OI backing — a fade back below the 5m/15m EMA reclaim would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.092697; stop 0.090350 (below the recent consolidation shelf and the 1h EMA support, ~2.5% = ~0.6x the 4.24% typical 24h traversal); TP1 stretch 0.095650 (~3.2% up toward the 5d-high zone at -6.1%, R:R ~1.26). 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors upside but chop + fading OI cap conviction and add expire risk.
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