DOGEUSD long — 29 Aug 2026 (expired)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.085426 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 0.08621 with a price move of +0.92%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-29 19:08 |
| Entry | 0.085426 |
| Stop-loss | 0.0837 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.08673 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.0876 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.26 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 0.08621 |
| Realized P&L | +0.92% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/4h bull_aligned, 15m mixed, 1h bear_aligned), 1h ADX 28.3 slope -4.7 (trend fading), ER-10 0.43 / ER-30 0.19 / choppiness 55 / Hurst 0.41 (mean-reverting, choppy path), HMM calm 99.97% — a low-conviction chop with a fresh mild upside impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: not two-sided — near-term momentum is up (+0.28%/4h, +1.11%/12h), OI is accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +1.75, oi_15m_z +1.44, oi_momentum accelerating_up, agg_oi +1.03%), taker ratio 1.31 (latest bucket buy-tilted), and top-traders are heavily long (pos ratio 3.55) — the confluence leans long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — OI accelerating up on positive taker flow and a fresh positive 12h impulse, with top-trader positioning firmly long, favors a continuation drift higher within chop. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h EMA is bear_aligned and ADX is fading — if the 5m/4h bull lean fails to hold and price loses the 5d-low proximity, the mean-reverting Hurst pulls it back down. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.085426; stop below recent structure at 0.083700 (~2.0% risk, within the ~5.6% 7d daily range); TP stretch at 0.087600 (~2.56% reward, R:R ~1.26, inside 1.5x/4% clamps) targeting reclaim toward the 5d-high zone. 6. EXPECTATION: choppy mean-reverting tape with modest edge — p_tp1 44 / p_sl 37 / p_expire 19.
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