DOGEUSD long — 30 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.08618 and stopped out at 0.08445 after 1.9 hours, closing at -2.01%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-30 19:08 |
| Entry | 0.08618 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08445 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.087302 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08805 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.08 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08445 |
| Realized P&L | -2.01% |
| Time open | 1.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m/4h bull_aligned, 1h bear_aligned), 1h ADX 21 slope +2.1 (mild trend firming), ER-10 0.46 / ER-30 0.17 / choppiness 50.8 / Hurst 0.20 (strongly mean-reverting path), HMM calm 99.9% — a shallow, choppy tape with a faint bullish drift. 2. LEAN CHECK: not two-sided — three of four EMA stacks are bull_aligned, near-term momentum is positive (+0.95%/4h, +1.83%/12h), OI is accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +1.81, oi_15m_z +2.43, agg_oi +2.3%) and top-traders are heavily long (pos ratio 3.16), so the lean is long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: rising OI into a positive price impulse with bull EMA stacks on 5m/15m/4h and top-trader crowd leaning long — a trend-aligned continuation lean off the 5d-low region (+2.2% above 5d low, z-score -0.76 = below-mean, room to revert up). 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h EMA is bear_aligned and taker ratio 0.90 (net selling last hour) — if OI accretion is late shorts and price loses the 5d-low structure, the reversion flips down. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent swing / 5d-low buffer at 0.08445 (~2.0% risk, within the 5% avg daily range); stretch target 0.08795 (~1.9% reward), R:R ~0.94 — nudge target to 0.08805 for R:R just above 1.0 at a structural level under the 5d-high (-3.5% away, reachable). 6. EXPECTATION: choppy mean-reverting tape caps follow-through; modest edge long.
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