AAVEUSD long — 30 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 128.64 and stopped out at 125.1 after 3.4 hours, closing at -2.75%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-30 17:39 |
| Entry | 128.64 |
| Stop-loss | 125.1 |
| Take-profit 1 | 131.166 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 132.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.19 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 125.1 |
| Realized P&L | -2.75% |
| Time open | 3.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/15m/5m EMA bull_aligned, 1h mixed → alignment tag mixed/transitional; 1h ADX 31.7 with positive slope (+3.4, strengthening), choppiness 39.7 (near trending threshold), ER-10 0.62 (recent path clean) but ER-30 0.33, Hurst 0.45, HMM calm 0.999 — a bull-stacked HTF pushing up with strengthening 1h trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: LONG — HTF EMA stack bullish, fresh +4.46% 24h, taker 1.89 buying, top-traders long-tilted. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend + flow — 3-of-4 TF bull-aligned with rising ADX, taker_buy_sell 1.89 and latest hourly ratios (1.87, 1.89) show real buy pressure, OI +3.95% with positive net move; trend-aligned long. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits just under 5d_high (-0.49%) and top_trader_pos_ratio is fading (4h chg -0.032) — a rejection at the 5d high with total3 mcap -4.4% 5d could roll it over. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 128.64; stop below recent structure at 125.10 (~2.75%, within rv range); stretch TP at 132.85 (~3.27%, R:R ~1.19, under 4% clamp and below stretch clamp) targeting a break above the 5d high. 6. EXPECTATION: modest edge, elevated near-high resistance.
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