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DOGEUSD long — 21 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.099004 and hit its target at 0.100772 after 2 hours, closing at +1.79%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-21 18:23 |
| Entry | 0.099004 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09665 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.100772 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.10195 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.100772 |
| Realized P&L | +1.79% |
| Time open | 2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bull_aligned), 1h ADX 56.8 slope +7.05 (very strong trend firming), ER-10 0.81 clean, choppiness 34.3 (trending), Hurst 0.60 persistent, HMM calm 99.97% — cleanly bull-stacked, accelerating up-leg. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — net +4.23% 4h, +11.02% 12h, +14.07% 24h all strongly positive; OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.65, agg_oi +23.3%), top-trader pos ratio 3.57 — trend-aligned long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: 4 confirming clusters — (a) HTF trend full_bullish, (b) flow: OI accelerating_up + taker 1.09, (c) positioning: top-trader pos ratio 3.57 + rising, (d) structure: printing new 5d/20d/90d highs; momentum is one-directional and firming. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI overbought across 1h (84.6) and 4h (81.9) plus rolling z +3.91 — parabolic extension risks a sharp mean-reversion snap-back; a break below the 4h EMA/recent breakout shelf invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.099004; stop 0.09665 (~2.4% below, beyond intraday support and the accelerating breakout shelf, ~inside 1x atr_pct_4h 2.47%); TP1 stretch 0.10195 (~2.98% above, ~1.26x stop distance, structural extension into fresh high air, within 4% clamp). 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but overbought/parabolic tempers odds — p_tp1 46, p_sl 34, p_expire 20.
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