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HYPEUSD short — 21 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on HYPEUSD entered at 92.1303 and stopped out at 94.35 after 11.9 hours, closing at -2.41%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-21 17:53 |
| Entry | 92.1303 |
| Stop-loss | 94.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 90.7021 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 89.75 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.07 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 94.35 |
| Realized P&L | -2.41% |
| Time open | 11.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed (0/4 vote) despite 4h/1h EMAs bull_aligned; 5m bear_aligned, 15m mixed/RSI 29 oversold; 1h ADX 26.6 slope -5.12 (trend fading fast), 4h ADX 43 strong; ER-10 0.41/ER-30 0.045 (path netting nowhere), choppiness 44 mid, Hurst 0.60, HMM calm — a maturing bull structure stalled into a sharp pullback. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term SHORT lean — net_4h -2.90%, net_12h -1.83%, OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -2.78, oi_momentum accelerating_down, agg_oi -2.86%), taker 0.87 sell-tilted; but 4h stack + top-traders long (pos_ratio 1.90) contradict — modest edge, not clean. 3. THESIS: strongest cluster is flow — OI unwinding hard as price drops with sub-1.0 taker ratio and fading ADX, classic long-liquidation/deleveraging leg lower; sitting -3.4% below 5d high with room down. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 15m RSI 29 oversold + top-traders heavily long could trigger a sharp mean-reversion bounce reclaiming the 1h EMAs. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 92.13, stop above recent structure/1h reclaim at 94.35 (~2.4% = ~0.36x rv_24h, sane), target down at 89.75 (~2.6% = ~1.07x stop distance, inside clamps, reachable given avg_move_24h 3.63%). 6. EXPECTATION: momentum + OI unwind favor down but oversold bounce risk and long track record temper it.
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