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DOGEUSD long — 21 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.100591 and stopped out at 0.09805 after 2.9 hours, closing at -2.53%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-21 22:23 |
| Entry | 0.100591 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09805 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.102516 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.1038 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.26 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.09805 |
| Realized P&L | -2.53% |
| Time open | 2.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bull_aligned), 1h ADX 64 slope +5.1 (very strong trend still firming), ER-10 0.54 / ER-30 0.53 (moderately clean), choppiness 42.9 (trending edge), Hurst 0.65 persistent, HMM calm 99.97% — a cleanly bull-stacked, accelerating up-leg. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — net +0.8% 4h, +8.1% 12h, +14.9% 24h all positive, OI accelerating_up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strong trend confluence — full MTF alignment + accelerating OI (oi_5m_z +2.14, agg_oi +28.3%) + top-trader pos ratio 3.45 heavily long + funding only mildly positive (z +0.86, not extreme) — the trend has fuel and no crowding blowoff yet; same-regime recent longs won 4/4. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is deeply overbought (1h 76.9, 4h 83.5) and price is z +3.73 / at 5d,20d,90d highs with taker ratio cooling to 0.77 — a blowoff-top mean-reversion pullback would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.100591; stop 0.09805 below the recent breakout shelf (~2.5%, ~1.3x atr_pct_1h, respecting RV); TP 0.10380 stretch (~3.2% up, RR ~1.27, inside 4% clamp), a reachable continuation extension given 24h traversal of 3.4% avg and strong momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but overbought/extended tempers p_tp1.
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