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SOLUSD long — 21 Sep 2026 (stopped out)

This long on SOLUSD entered at 119.19 and stopped out at 116.35 after 5.1 hours, closing at -2.38%.

AssetSOLUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-09-21 21:53
Entry119.19
Stop-loss116.35
Take-profit 1121.206
Take-profit 2 (stretch)122.55
Reward:risk at entry1.18
Outcomestopped out
Close price116.35
Realized P&L-2.38%
Time open5.1 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 55.5 slope +3.6 (very strong, still strengthening), ER10 0.57/ER30 0.57 (reasonably clean), choppiness 38.6 (trending edge), Hurst 0.65, HMM calm 0.999 — a robust, still-accelerating HTF uptrend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear LONG lean — net +8.5% 24h/+2.8% 12h/+1.7% 4h, price pinned at 5d/20d/90d highs (-0.034%), OI +12% 24h with top-trader pos ratio 2.29. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend + flow confluence — full MTF alignment, rising ADX, fresh highs, OI expanding into the move with taker buy ratio 1.17 and top-traders heavily long; SOL 30d wr 68.5%. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h/4h RSI both ~79 (overbought), z-score +2.35, OI momentum decelerating and top-trader pos ratio ticking down — an exhaustion pullback that loses the fresh-high level would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 116.35 below the recent breakout/consolidation shelf (~2.4% risk, within rv_24h); take_profit_1 122.55 stretch at ~2.8% (RR ~1.18, inside clamps) — reachable given avg 24h traversal 3.7% and net +8.5% momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned with overbought caveat; p_tp1 47, p_sl 33, p_expire 20.

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