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DOGEUSD long — 22 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.100313 and hit its target at 0.102111 after 12.4 hours, closing at +1.79%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-22 13:08 |
| Entry | 0.100313 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09792 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.102111 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.10331 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.102111 |
| Realized P&L | +1.79% |
| Time open | 12.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h/4h EMA bull_aligned but 5m/15m mixed (alignment 2/4), 1h ADX 52 with slope -4.7 (strong trend fading), ER-10 0.22 (recent path choppy) vs ER-30 0.34, choppiness 47.7 neutral, Hurst 0.67 persistent, HMM volatile 0.76 — an extended bull up-leg (+7.4% 24h, RV at 99.5th pctile) that is decelerating near the 5d/20d/90d high. 2. LEAN CHECK: long lean persists — HTF trend up, OI +20.8% 24h, top-trader pos ratio 3.36 heavily long, latest taker 1.66 buy-heavy, price pinned within 1.8% of the high. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 1h+4h EMA bull stack + strong ADX + persistent Hurst + fresh OI build (+16% agg, +20% Binance) with a decisive last-hour buy surge; DOGE riding a broad TOTAL3 +6.6% 5d, Extreme Greed 78 risk-on tape. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 4h 71.8 / 5m 79 overbought, z-score +2.56, ADX slope negative and OI momentum decelerating — an exhaustion rejection at the high would flip this to a pullback fast. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.100313; stop 0.09792 below the intraday consolidation shelf (~2.4% risk, well within rv_24h/atr context); stretch TP 0.10331 (~+3.0%, ~1.25x risk) targeting a clean push above the 5d high — inside the 1.5x/4% clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought + fading ADX at highs tempers this; p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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