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DOGEUSD long — 22 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.099939 and hit its target at 0.1029 after 2.1 hours, closing at +2.96%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-22 01:53 |
| Entry | 0.099939 |
| Stop-loss | 0.0972 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.101716 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.1029 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.08 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.1029 |
| Realized P&L | +2.96% |
| Time open | 2.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m mixed, 15m/1h/4h bull_aligned), 1h ADX 64.8 slope +0.76 (very strong trend now barely firming), ER-10 0.25 (recent path choppy) vs ER-30 0.52, choppiness 48.6 neutral, Hurst 0.68 persistent, HMM volatile 0.76 — a strong bull up-leg that has become extended and is losing near-term cleanliness. 2. LEAN CHECK: long lean persists on the HTF trend, but it's a tired long — z-score +3.26, 1h RSI 71.6 / 4h RSI 82.5 overbought, price at 5d/20d/90d high, RV 24h at 97th pctile. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — bull EMA stack on 15m/1h/4h, OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +1.31, agg_oi +27.8%), top-trader pos ratio 3.30 heavily long, funding still moderate (z 0.87, not extreme) — fresh money still flowing into the up-leg, momentum +14% 24h. 4. PRE-MORTEM: extreme extension (z +3.26, dual overbought, ER-10 collapsing to 0.25 and top-trader ratio ticking DOWN -0.09 4h) means a mean-revert flush could hit stop before continuation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.099939; stop below the near-term 15m structure at 0.09720 (~2.7% risk, ~1x the 24h atr/rv character for this hot mover); take_profit_1 stretch at 0.10290 (~2.96% reward), R:R ~1.1, a push above the fresh high, inside the 1.5x/4% clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought extension caps continuation odds; p_tp1 44, p_sl 40, p_expire 16.
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