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DOGEUSD long — 22 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.10491 and stopped out at 0.10175 after 36 minutes, closing at -3.01%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-22 04:08 |
| Entry | 0.10491 |
| Stop-loss | 0.10175 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.107184 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.1087 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.20 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.10175 |
| Realized P&L | -3.01% |
| Time open | 36 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 64.5 (very strong trend) but slope -0.31 (fading), ER-30 0.58 moderately clean / ER-10 0.40 recent noise, choppiness 48 neutral, Hurst 0.66 persistent, HMM volatile 0.76 — a very strong bull up-leg now extended and decelerating. 2. LEAN CHECK: long lean — trend, flow and OI all point up; no clean reclaim setup for a fade. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: full bull stack + OI up +34% 24h with top-trader pos ratio 3.33 (heavy long conviction) + net +5.5% 4h / +18.9% 24h momentum — strongest cluster is trend-alignment plus accelerating positioning behind the move. 4. PRE-MORTEM: rolling z +3.98, RV at 100th pctile, RSI 78/87 on 1h/4h, ADX slope negative and OI momentum decelerating — a mean-reversion snapback from this stretched extreme would invalidate the long. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.104910; stop below the recent breakout shelf at 0.10175 (~3.0% risk, within the ~7% 24h realized range for a stretched but genuine trend); stretch TP at 0.10870 (~3.6% reward, R:R ~1.2, inside 4% clamp) toward continuation of the up-leg. 6. EXPECTATION: extreme extension caps upside odds and raises snapback risk despite trend alignment.
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