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DOGEUSD long — 23 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.103054 and stopped out at 0.10015 after 5.7 hours, closing at -2.82%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-23 03:08 |
| Entry | 0.103054 |
| Stop-loss | 0.10015 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.10523 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.10668 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.10015 |
| Realized P&L | -2.82% |
| Time open | 5.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bull_aligned), 1h ADX 41.7 slope +2.0 (strong trend still firming), ER-10 0.69 (recent path clean) vs ER-30 0.17, choppiness 50.8 neutral, Hurst 0.67 persistent, HMM calm 99.96% — a clean, accelerating bull up-leg parked right at the 5d/20d/90d high (-0.6%). 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — trend, OI and flow all point up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — full MTF bull stack + rising ADX + OI accelerating_up (oi_15m_z +2.9, agg_oi +4.2%) + net +2.5% 4h / +3.0% 12h momentum, top-trader pos ratio 3.70 confirms whales heavily long; price breaking to fresh 90d high with clean ER-10. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h RSI 75.8 overbought + rolling z +2.42 + RV 78th pctile — extended, so a fast mean-revert flush below the breakout shelf invalidates; funding_momentum negative (-0.027) hints some unwind. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.103054, stop 0.100150 just below the recent breakout base (~2.8% risk, ~0.5x the 5.8% avg daily range, sane); stretch TP 0.106680 at the next round extension (~3.5% up, R:R ~1.25, inside clamps) reachable given 4.2% avg 24h traversal. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but extended near a high, so meaningful two-sided risk.
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