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DOGEUSD long — 23 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.101631 and hit its target at 0.103562 after 1.3 hours, closing at +1.90%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-23 01:38 |
| Entry | 0.101631 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09905 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.103562 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.10485 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.103562 |
| Realized P&L | +1.90% |
| Time open | 1.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bull_aligned), 1h ADX 40 with slight negative slope (-0.4, strong trend barely fading), ER-10 0.57 (recent path fairly clean) vs ER-30 0.14 (nets nowhere over 30 bars), choppiness 51.6 neutral, Hurst 0.68 persistent, HMM calm 99.96% — a strong bull up-leg parked right at the 5d/20d/90d high (-0.5%). 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — trend fully aligned, net +1.5% 4h, taker 1.21 buy-tilted, top-trader position ratio 3.77 heavily long, agg OI +4.4% 24h; short case is only exhaustion (4h RSI 73.9 overbought, z-score +2.29, RV at 97.8th pctile). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is HTF trend + flow — full bull stack with positive taker/OI supports a break of the 90d high just overhead; leaning long into the trend. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is at extension (4h overbought, z +2.29, OI momentum accelerating_down + top-trader ratio slipping) — a rejection at the 90d high that fails to break would flush the extended longs. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.101631; stop below the recent higher-low structure at 0.09905 (~2.54% risk, within 24h ~4.2% traversal range); stretch TP at 0.10485 (~3.16% ≈ 1.24x risk, structural break above 90d high), inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: extended trend at overbought highs cuts p_tp1 vs a fresh breakout.
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