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DOGEUSD long — 26 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.097821 and stopped out at 0.09595 after 9 hours, closing at -1.91%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-26 11:38 |
| Entry | 0.097821 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09595 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.099338 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.10035 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.35 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.09595 |
| Realized P&L | -1.91% |
| Time open | 9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/1h EMA bull_aligned but 5m/15m mixed (alignment 2/4, mtf mixed, transitional); 1h ADX 20.7 slope -2.6 (weakly trending, fading); ER-10 0.27 / ER-30 0.19 (choppy path netting little); choppiness 54.7 neutral; Hurst 0.62 persistent; HMM calm 99.97% — a transitional bull structure gently drifting, roughly flat 24h. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — higher-TF EMA stack bull, top-trader position ratio 4.51 heavily long, funding mildly positive, but recent 4h/12h net moves are slightly negative and OI momentum accelerating_down — mixed but tilts long on trend + positioning. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is HTF trend (1h/4h bull_aligned, 4h ADX 33.5, Hurst persistent) plus lopsided top-trader positioning (pos ratio 4.51, account ratio 3.29) — trend-aligned long consistent with three prior winning DOGE longs on this exact structure. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI accelerating_down + taker 1h 0.877 (sellers) + agg OI -14.5% 24h signals distribution — a break below the 5d low support (~-6.5% area) invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.097821; stop_loss 0.09595 just below recent intraday support and inside ~1.9% (≈0.6x the 24h realized range of ~4.8%); take_profit_1 0.10035 (stretch ~2.6%, R:R ≈1.35, inside 1.5x/4% clamps) at a reclaim toward the 5d-high shelf. 6. EXPECTATION: transitional bull with fading momentum — p_tp1 44, p_sl 34, p_expire 22.
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