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SOLUSD long — 25 Sep 2026 (expired)
This long on SOLUSD entered at 122.244 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 121.38 with a price move of -0.71%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-25 18:23 |
| Entry | 122.244 |
| Stop-loss | 118.7 |
| Take-profit 1 | 125.0076 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 126.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.30 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 121.38 |
| Realized P&L | -0.71% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bull_aligned), 1h ADX 41.9 slope +4.5 (strong, strengthening trend), ER10 0.60/ER30 0.49 (clean recent path), choppiness 47.7, Hurst 0.61 (persistent), HMM calm 0.999 — a clean, accelerating bull trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear LONG lean — full alignment, price sitting at 5d/20d/90d highs (+0.000 to each), net +5.09% 12h / +4.12% 24h, OI accelerating_up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend + flow confluence — full MTF stack up, OI z +2.33 accelerating_up with oi +9.1% 24h, top-trader pos ratio 2.25 heavily long, funding z +1.28 building but not extreme; breakout to fresh highs with momentum behind it. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 73.4 overbought + z_score +1.60 + taker ratio slipping under 1.0 (0.959) warn of near-term exhaustion; a failure to hold above ~120 would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 118.70 below the recent breakout shelf (~2.9% risk, roughly 0.75x rv_24h, structural invalidation), take_profit_1 126.85 as the stretch (~3.77% / 1.32x stop distance, inside clamps, reachable given avg 24h traversal 3.78% and fresh-high momentum). 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but overbought stretch into new highs tempers, p_tp1 48 / p_sl 33 / p_expire 19.
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