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DOGEUSD long — 11 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.087251 and stopped out at 0.08565 after 22.2 hours, closing at -1.83%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-11 16:05 |
| Entry | 0.087251 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08565 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.08857 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08945 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.37 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08565 |
| Realized P&L | -1.83% |
| Time open | 22.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 0/4 mixed (5m/15m bull, 1h/4h bear-aligned), 1h ADX 21.7 slope +2.2 (modest, strengthening off a chop floor), 4h ADX 37 bearish, ER-10 0.53 (moderately clean short-term) / ER-30 0.19 (noisy longer), choppiness 42.5 (neutral-trending), Hurst 0.43 mean-reverting, HMM calm 99.95% — a fresh short-term bullish impulse pushing up through a broader bearish/mean-reverting structure. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — fresh 4h/12h/24h net moves all positive (+2.06% / +1.80% / +1.21%), 5m/15m EMA bull-aligned with RSI pinned overbought, taker 1h 1.21 buy-skewed. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the strongest cluster is flow+OI — OI z-scores +4.2/+4.6 with oi_momentum accelerating_up and top_trader_pos_ratio 3.29 (heavily net long), confirming the fresh upside push is backed by real new long positioning; net_move_4h +2.06% is a clean impulse. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m/15m RSI 76/80 overbought beneath a bearish 1h/4h EMA stack and mean-reverting Hurst — the push can exhaust and roll over, which is exactly the chop-fade pattern that cost the last four same-regime longs. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.087251; stop below the recent swing/reclaimed level at 0.085650 (~1.83% risk, within the 4.2% 7d daily range); stretch TP at 0.089450 (~2.52% / ~1.37x risk, below the 5d_high at -8% distance, reachable given 2.39% typical 24h traversal). 6. EXPECTATION: overbought-into-resistance with a mean-reverting backdrop caps upside odds despite the flow tailwind.
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