DOGEUSD short — 16 Aug 2026 (expired)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.069874 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 0.07003 with a price move of -0.22%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-16 02:28 |
| Entry | 0.069874 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07086 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.069062 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.06852 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.37 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 0.07003 |
| Realized P&L | -0.22% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bearish 4/4 with all TFs bear-aligned, 1h ADX 20 with +3.2 slope (trend building modestly), but ER-30 0.01 / choppiness 53.9 / Hurst 0.44 and RV at 1st percentile — a dead-low-vol tape that is bear-stacked but barely moving. 2. LEAN CHECK: net moves quietly negative (-0.06%/4h, -0.33%/12h, -0.77%/24h), taker ratio 0.807 (sellers), 4/4 bear EMA alignment — the modest lean is short. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: full_bearish MTF alignment plus a rising 1h ADX and sub-1 taker ratio are the strongest cluster; the trend is unambiguously down across every voting timeframe, so short is the trend-aligned side. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top_trader_pos_ratio 3.15 (heavily long) and agg_oi_24h_delta +0.30 with oi_5m_z +1.94 — big players are positioned long and could squeeze this thin book higher; the recent same-regime shorts all lost/expired, a caution flag. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 0.069874; stop above the 5d-high proximity structural level at 0.070860 (~1.4% / near 4h atr_pct 0.87%); target down at 0.068520, a reachable structural level within the ~1.08% typical 24h traversal, R:R ~1.37. 6. EXPECTATION: low RV and thin liquidity plus contradicting top-trader longs cap the edge; p_tp1 41, p_sl 34, p_expire 25.
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