DOGEUSD short — 18 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.069785 and stopped out at 0.070485 after 13.6 hours, closing at -1.00%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-18 02:58 |
| Entry | 0.069785 |
| Stop-loss | 0.070485 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.069314 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.069 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.12 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.070485 |
| Realized P&L | -1.00% |
| Time open | 13.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed (5m/4h bear-aligned, 15m/1h mixed; alignment 2/4), 1h ADX 13.7 with +2.4 slope (sub-15 chop), ER-30 0.01 with choppiness 49.9 and Hurst 0.41 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 100% — dead low-vol chop with a fresh downside impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum is quietly negative (-0.77%/4h, -0.91%/12h, -0.65%/24h), taker ratio 0.687 (sellers dominant), 5m/4h bear-aligned — leans short. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: fresh 4h down-impulse plus sub-1 taker flow (0.69) is trend-aligned with the bear-stacked 5m/4h EMA; the tape is drifting lower with sellers hitting bids. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m/15m RSI deeply oversold (29) and top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 3.30) — a mean-reversion bounce back above 0.0703 (5d high proximity is far but recent structure) would negate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above the recent minor pivot at 0.07048 (just over 5m consolidation), risk ~0.4%; target the 20d-low zone at 0.06925, ~1.2x the stop distance, reachable within 24h given atr and negative drift. 6. EXPECTATION: chop with a bear tilt but oversold short-TFs cap follow-through; p_tp1 44, p_sl 34, p_expire 22.
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