DOGEUSD short — 24 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.088758 and stopped out at 0.09086 after 7.1 hours, closing at -2.37%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-24 17:39 |
| Entry | 0.088758 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09085 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.087403 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.0865 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.08 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.09086 |
| Realized P&L | -2.37% |
| Time open | 7.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 0/4 (5m/15m bear, 1h/4h bull_aligned), 4h ADX 45 strong but 1h ADX only 11.1 (chop-grade), ER-30 0.19 / choppiness 57 / Hurst 0.39 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.8% — a stalled 4h uptrend with fresh downside momentum (-4.35%/24h, net -2.46%/4h). 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum is sharply down and accelerating (oi 5m/15m z -3.1/-3.9, oi_momentum accelerating_down, agg OI -5.6%/24h, 5m/15m RSI oversold 28/33) — bearish near-term lean, but 4h structure and heavy top-trader long positioning (pos ratio 4.75) resist deeper flush; on balance the fresh sell flow wins the near-term. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: short — accelerating_down OI with price shedding 4.4% in 24h means longs are being forced out, not accumulating; taker ratio 0.96 and hourly buckets soft confirm sell pressure. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m/15m RSI already oversold (28/33) plus a heavily-long top-trader book (4.75) is a snap-back setup — a reclaim of ~0.0905 (recent chop pivot) would invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.088758; stop above reclaim pivot at 0.09085 (~2.36% risk, within the ~4-10% daily range); TP1 stretch at 0.08650 (~2.5% reward, RR ~1.05, inside 1.5x/4% clamps) targeting the lower band of recent range. 6. EXPECTATION: fresh momentum favors continuation but oversold + long-book snapback and chop keep it uncertain.
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