DOGEUSD short — 25 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.088261 and hit its target at 0.087114 after 6.7 hours, closing at +1.30%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-25 13:58 |
| Entry | 0.088261 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08995 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.087114 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08635 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.13 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.087114 |
| Realized P&L | +1.30% |
| Time open | 6.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m bear_aligned, 1h mixed, 4h bull_aligned ADX 37), 1h ADX 15 slope +1.8 (chop-grade), ER-30 0.15 / choppiness 45 / Hurst 0.38 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.9% — a 4h uptrend stalled into chop with fresh downside (-2.9%/24h, -2.5%/4h). 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum is clearly down — all fast TFs bear-aligned, 15m RSI 28 oversold, OI accelerating_down (5m z -2.2), agg OI -4.9% 24h, taker ratio 0.88 (sell pressure), funding still positive/unwinding — favors short into the 5d low. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow+momentum cluster (accelerating_down OI, sub-1 taker ratio, net -2.5%/4h, oi unwinding on positive funding) aligns with the bear-aligned short TFs; 5d high -10.6% away confirms this is a downleg not a dip. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 15m RSI 28 oversold + top-traders very long (pos ratio 4.26) risks a mean-reversion bounce off the 5d low, and 4h EMA is still bull_aligned. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.088261, stop 0.089950 just above recent 1h reclaim/consolidation (~1.9% ≈ 0.5x the 4.27% avg 24h traversal), take_profit_1 0.086350 at the prior swing-low shelf toward the 5d low — RR ≈ 1.13, well inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors continuation but oversold + long track-record chop history keeps it two-sided.
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