DOGEUSD short — 25 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.086017 and hit its target at 0.084759 after 17.6 hours, closing at +1.46%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-25 21:13 |
| Entry | 0.086017 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08776 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.084759 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08392 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.20 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.084759 |
| Realized P&L | +1.46% |
| Time open | 17.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m bear_aligned, 1h mixed, 4h bull_aligned ADX 33), 1h ADX 29 slope +6.9 (trend firming to the downside), ER-10 0.63 (clean short-term move) but ER-30 0.28 / choppiness 35 / Hurst 0.40 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.9% — a fresh downside impulse inside a stalled 4h uptrend. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum is clearly down — all fast TFs bear, 15m RSI 21.6 oversold, net -3.3%/4h, -5.0%/12h, -4.9%/24h, OI accelerating_down (5m/15m z -3.2/-3.3), agg OI -3.8% — short-aligned, and this asset's prior shorts in this exact setup won 3x. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — accelerating_down OI momentum with collapsing OI z-scores plus fresh downside net moves and last-hour taker 0.587 (sellers dominant) confirms distribution, trend-aligned with the bear-stacked fast TFs. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 15m RSI 21.6 is deeply oversold and top-traders are heavily long (pos ratio 4.08, rising) — a mean-revert bounce off the 5d_low (+8.3% above) could squeeze this short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.086017, stop_loss 0.087760 just above the recent intraday consolidation/reclaim shelf (~2.0% = within the ~4.3% avg 24h range), take_profit_1 0.083920 at the next downside structural leg (~2.44% = ~1.2x the stop distance, inside clamps, reachable given RV). 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors continuation but oversold RSI + long top-traders raise bounce risk.
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