DOGEUSD short — 26 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.086335 and stopped out at 0.08805 after 10.2 hours, closing at -1.99%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-26 21:53 |
| Entry | 0.086335 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08805 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.085054 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.0842 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.24 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08805 |
| Realized P&L | -1.99% |
| Time open | 10.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 0/4 (5m mixed/RSI 71 overbought, 15m bear_aligned, 1h mixed, 4h bull_aligned), 1h ADX 43.9 slope -2.9 (elevated but fading), ER-10 0.014 / ER-30 0.20 / choppiness 56.4 / Hurst 0.44 (path nets nowhere, mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.9% — a stalled range with fading trend energy. 2. LEAN CHECK: not fully two-sided — OI is bleeding hard (agg_oi_24h -0.46, oi_momentum accelerating_down, oi_5m_z -0.73) while top-traders sit heavily long (pos ratio 3.94) into a 5m RSI 71 overbought push; the divergence and OI unwind favor a modest short, matching DOGE's repeated winning-short setup. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: fresh +1.6%/4h pop into 5m overbought with OI accelerating down and 24h net flat (-0.24%) = a low-conviction bounce inside a stalled 4h uptrend that lacks OI support to sustain; fade back toward range mid. 4. PRE-MORTEM: a reclaim of the 5d high (-12.6% away is far; near term a push above ~0.0875 with OI turning up) would invalidate — momentum resumes higher. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.086335, stop above the recent 4h swing / overbought push at 0.08805 (~2.0% ≈ 0.4x rv_24h, structural invalidation); stretch TP at 0.08420 (~1.3% below, R:R ~1.15, inside clamps) toward range support. 6. EXPECTATION: mean-reverting chop with thin conviction — modest edge, meaningful expire risk.
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