ETHUSD long — 26 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,500.6 and hit its target at 2,524.5 after 10 hours, closing at +0.96%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-26 22:08 |
| Entry | 2,500.6 |
| Stop-loss | 2,462.8 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,524.5 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,540.5 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.05 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,524.5 |
| Realized P&L | +0.96% |
| Time open | 10 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h/4h/5m EMA stacks bull_aligned (4h ADX 36/RSI 64) but 15m mixed; ADX_1h 19.8 slope -0.7 (borderline trend, fading), ER-10 0.48 / ER-30 0.12 / choppiness 52.8, Hurst 0.57, HMM calm — a genuine HTF bull structure with a choppy, mildly fading near-term path near 5d/20d/90d highs (-0.85%). 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — every confirming cluster tilts up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow/OI cluster is strong — OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +3.07, agg_oi +4.58%), taker ratio 1.62 (latest bucket spiking), top-trader pos ratio 1.78 and rising (4h chg +0.069), price +2.18% 24h pressing 5d/20d highs — trend-aligned longs adding into strength with F&G Greed 65. 4. PRE-MORTEM: rejection at the 5d/20d high (-0.85% overhead) with fading ADX and 15m RSI 70 overbought could trigger a fast reversal back below 2,470. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 2,461.5 below the recent consolidation/invalidation (~1.56% risk, within rv_24h ~1.0x); take_profit_1 2,554.0 as the stretch above the 5d high (1.5% reward), R:R ~0.95 — nudge stop to 2,462.8 keeps R:R ~1.0 into structural breakout target. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought near-term chop tempers TP odds; meaningful expire given fading ADX.
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