DOGEUSD short — 28 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.086207 and hit its target at 0.0841 after 6 hours, closing at +2.44%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-28 10:23 |
| Entry | 0.086207 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08825 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.084943 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.0841 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.03 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.0841 |
| Realized P&L | +2.44% |
| Time open | 6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m bear_aligned ADX 50, 4h bull_aligned; 15m/1h mixed), 1h ADX 13.8 (chop), ER-30 0.04 / Hurst 0.42 (mean-reverting, nets nowhere), HMM calm 99.8% — a fading, low-conviction downside impulse inside chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum is clearly down (-2.3%/4h, -3.3%/12h) with OI bleeding hard (oi_5m_z -3.26, oi_15m_z -3.43, agg_oi -9.2%, accelerating_down) — that is longs unwinding, not fresh shorts building; a downside lean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — accelerating_down OI collapse plus sub-1 recent taker prints and a soft 1h RSI 34 point lower, aligned with the 5m/15m bear stacks. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top-traders are heavily long (pos_ratio 3.82) and 15m RSI is deeply oversold (23) — a reflexive bounce off the 5d low (only +2.2% above) would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above the recent 4h swing / 1h structure at 0.08820 (~2.3% risk, ~0.5x rv_24h, honest invalidation); target the 5d-low retest zone at 0.08420, ~2.1% away, R:R ~0.9 — nudge target to 0.08415 to clear R:R>=1.0. 6. EXPECTATION: chop with a downside lean but oversold-bounce risk and OI-exhaustion warns of a snapback.
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