DOGEUSD short — 30 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.082272 and stopped out at 0.08385 after 18.8 hours, closing at -1.92%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-30 23:53 |
| Entry | 0.082272 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08385 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.080978 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.080115 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.37 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08385 |
| Realized P&L | -1.92% |
| Time open | 18.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m/1h bear_aligned, 4h still bull_aligned but ADX 14.7 fading), 1h ADX 23.0 slope +3.6 (downside trend firming), ER-10 0.57 / ER-30 0.30 / choppiness 34.2 (trending) / Hurst 0.21 (mean-reverting path), HMM calm 99.96% — a fresh, moderately clean downside impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: net move -4.3%/4h, -3.4%/12h, -3.7%/24h all down, price at 5d low and z-score -2.06 — momentum decisively down; short is the lean, and this exact setup won three times recently on DOGE. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — oi_5m_z -3.40 / oi_15m_z -3.45 with oi_momentum accelerating_down, agg_oi -3.78%, taker 0.80 (sellers dominant), price making a fresh 5d low with firming 1h ADX; trend-aligned short on the near-timeframe stack. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is deeply oversold across all TFs (26-33) at a -2.06 z-score and 5d low — a snapback bounce reclaiming the broken level invalidates the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above the recent consolidation shelf at 0.08385 (beyond the 4h EMA/reclaim zone); entry 0.082272; stop distance ~1.92%, TP1 stretch at 0.080115 (~2.62% down, ~1.37x stop distance, inside clamps) targeting continuation below the low, reachable given avg 24h traversal 2.27% and rv elevated. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors continuation but oversold + mean-reverting Hurst caps it.
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