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DOGEUSD short — 10 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.084007 and hit its target at 0.082473 after 24 hours, closing at +1.83%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-10 12:48 |
| Entry | 0.084007 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08635 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.082473 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08145 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.09 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.082473 |
| Realized P&L | +1.83% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h EMA bull_aligned but 1h mixed and 5m/15m bear_aligned (RSI 24-27 deeply oversold), mtf 2/4 transitional; 1h ADX 50.7 slope +4.7 (strong trend firming hard), ER-10 0.74 (clean recent one-way move) vs ER-30 0.45, choppiness 41.5 (edge of trending), Hurst 0.49, HMM calm 99.96% — a decisive downdraft inside a stalling bull structure, price z -0.93, net_24h -8.2%. 2. LEAN CHECK: short lean — the strong-and-firming 1h ADX confirms the downdraft is a real trend not chop, and OI is bleeding (oi_change_24h -11.6%, agg_oi -12.9%, oi_5m_z -1.78) i.e. longs unwinding into the fall. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: this asset's track record shows shorts winning repeatedly in exactly this transitional/oversold-firming setup (last 3 shorts +1.77/+1.53/+2.06%); flow cluster (heavy OI unwind + decelerating momentum) plus firming 1h ADX aligns short with the near-term trend even against the 4h bull EMA. 4. PRE-MORTEM: deep oversold RSI (24-27 across TFs) plus top-trader pos ratio 3.41 (heavily long) risks a sharp mean-reversion bounce that reclaims the 5m/15m EMAs. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.084007; stop above the recent swing/EMA reclaim at 0.086350 (~2.79% risk, within the ~6% daily range); take_profit_1 stretch at 0.081450 (~3.04% ≈ 1.09x stop distance, inside 4% clamp) targeting continuation toward the prior downdraft extension. 6. EXPECTATION: firming trend and flow favor continuation but deep oversold caps follow-through.
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