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DOGEUSD short — 11 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.084954 and stopped out at 0.08685 after 1.2 hours, closing at -2.23%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-11 12:42 |
| Entry | 0.084954 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08685 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.083512 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08255 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.27 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08685 |
| Realized P&L | -2.23% |
| Time open | 1.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h/15m EMA bear_aligned but 5m/4h mixed, mtf 2/4 transitional; 1h ADX 47.6 slope -4.1 (strong trend but fading), ER-10 0.44 / ER-30 0.10 (noisy longer path), choppiness 43.5 (edge of trending), Hurst 0.50 (random), HMM calm 99.97% — a firm-but-decelerating 1h down-structure with a bull-ish 4h backdrop stalling. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest short lean — 1h/15m bear stack aligns with the bearish LTF regime, taker 1h 0.93 (sellers), agg funding z -2.19 and delta funding still positive suggesting longs paying / unwind pressure. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: LTF bear_aligned EMA stack on 1h+15m plus taker sell-skew and a broad -4% total-mcap risk-off day is the strongest cluster favoring downside continuation. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top-trader pos ratio 3.30 (heavily long) and 4h RSI 42 with price near 5d-low (+2.4%) — a reclaim above ~0.0862 (5m/4h mixed flipping bull) would invalidate the short as smart-money longs squeeze it up. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.084954; stop above recent intraday structure at 0.086850 (~2.23% risk, within ~0.6x rv_24h); take_profit_1 stretch at 0.082550 (~2.83% move, ~1.27x risk, targeting the 5d-low zone) — reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal 3.3%. 6. EXPECTATION: fading ADX + strongly-long top traders temper conviction; p_tp1 43, p_sl 38, p_expire 19.
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