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ETHUSD long — 11 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,496.4 and hit its target at 2,517.8 after 1 hours, closing at +0.85%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-11 12:42 |
| Entry | 2,496.4 |
| Stop-loss | 2,461 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,517.8 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,532 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.00 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,517.8 |
| Realized P&L | +0.85% |
| Time open | 1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf mixed 2/4 (5m bull, 15m mixed, 1h bear, 4h bull), 1h ADX 17.9 slope +0.08 (weak/flat), ADX-20 14.9, ER-10 0.56 but ER-30 0.07 (short-frame clean, longer nets nowhere), choppiness 47.3, Hurst 0.44 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 0.999 — a low-ADX chop tape with a fresh up-tilt, +3.49% on 24h. 2. LEAN CHECK: two-sided but a modest long lean survives — all net moves positive (4h +0.90%, 12h +1.74%, 24h +3.49%), price recovered off 5d/20d lows, 4h EMA bull. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: momentum cluster — positive net moves across all horizons, ER-10 0.56 clean short-frame push, top-traders positioned long (pos ratio 1.26, account ratio 1.45), F&G Greed 56, recovered near 5d high (-0.83%). 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h EMA is bear-aligned, oi_momentum accelerating_down and 15m OI z negative — if rally is unwinding OI rather than fresh longs, this stalls and rolls back; taker ratio 0.96 (mild sell). 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below 1h swing / prior consolidation at 2461 (~1.42% risk, within rv_24h ~1.47% daily traversal); stretch TP at 2532, just under 5d-high resistance, ~1.42% reward, R:R ~1.0. 6. EXPECTATION: chop tape, faint edge — base rate ~55-60% on this asset but macro risk-off (SPX -0.58%, US10Y +2.2%) caps upside.
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