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DOGEUSD short — 15 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.079258 and stopped out at 0.08069 after 11 minutes, closing at -1.81%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-15 18:43 |
| Entry | 0.079258 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08069 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.078191 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07748 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.24 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08069 |
| Realized P&L | -1.81% |
| Time open | 11 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/15m/1h all bear_aligned (4h mixed), 1h ADX 29.96 slope +5.03 (trend firming hard), ADX-20 21.7, ER-10 0.55/ER-30 0.37, choppiness 43, Hurst 0.38 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.97% — a firming down-leg, price crushed -6.7% on the 24h and sitting exactly at 5d/20d/90d lows (z -2.35). 2. LEAN CHECK: short lean — bearish EMA stack across three TFs with strengthening ADX and price at fresh lows is the dominant read; the only offset is deeply oversold RSI (24-31) risking a bounce. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — 1h EMA bear stack + ADX 30 rising + net_move -6.7%/24h and price pinned at 5d/20d/90d lows with agg_OI -2.1% (positions leaving as price falls, no fresh long defense); this asset's own recent wins in this exact setup were shorts (+1.50%, +1.77%). 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 24 on 1h + z -2.35 + heavily long top traders (pos ratio 3.2) means a mean-reversion snapback that reclaims ~0.0805 would invalidate the down-leg. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.079258, stop 0.080690 (above the reclaim zone / recent intraday supply, ~1.81% risk, within the 24h realized range given rv 81% ann. and 4h atr 2%); take_profit_1 0.077480 (~2.24% below entry, a stretch toward continuation past the low, R:R ~1.24, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: firming trend but stretched/oversold tempers TP odds.
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