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DOGEUSD short — 23 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.093118 and stopped out at 0.09555 after 22.3 hours, closing at -2.61%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-23 16:08 |
| Entry | 0.093118 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09555 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.090929 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08947 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.09555 |
| Realized P&L | -2.61% |
| Time open | 22.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/1h EMA still bull_aligned but 5m/15m bear (alignment 0/4, mtf mixed), 1h ADX 32.8 slope +4.7 (trend re-firming), ER-10 0.84 (recent path very clean and one-way — DOWN), choppiness 28.6 (strongly trending), Hurst 0.57 mildly persistent, HMM calm 99.96% — an extended bull structure now flushing hard, -6.5% 24h / -6.3% 4h / -10.1% 12h. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — near-term momentum, OI collapse and taker flow all point down despite the stale higher-TF EMA stack. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow/OI cluster is decisive — agg OI -10.6% 24h with oi_5m_z -3.45 and oi_momentum accelerating_down, taker 1h 0.73 (sustained sellers), agg longs 99% of 4h liqs (longs getting flushed), ER-10 0.84 confirms a clean one-way DOWN leg; top-trader pos ratio 4.48 is elevated long but that is the crowd being unwound, not support. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h/15m RSI deeply oversold (27/23) — a violent mean-reversion bounce reclaiming 0.0945 would invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above the recent 4h consolidation shelf / reclaim zone at 0.09555 (~2.6% above mark, ~1x RV); TP1 stretch down at 0.08935 targeting the next liquidity pocket below the 5d low area (~2.0% below entry), R:R ~0.77 — widen TP toward stop-distance parity: place TP at 0.08882, ~2.5% below, R:R ~0.98. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum strong but oversold raises bounce risk within 24h.
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