Home › Signals › October 2026 › DOGEUSD
DOGEUSD short — 2 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.091119 and stopped out at 0.0932 after 5.4 hours, closing at -2.28%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-02 18:50 |
| Entry | 0.091119 |
| Stop-loss | 0.0932 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.089848 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.089 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.02 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.0932 |
| Realized P&L | -2.28% |
| Time open | 5.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m bear-aligned, 15m/1h mixed, 4h bull (alignment 0/4, mtf mixed, transitional); 1h ADX 21.1 slope -0.46 (just above floor, fading), ADX-20 15.2, ER-10 0.82 (very clean recent downleg) but ER-30 0.21 (longer path nets nowhere), choppiness 33 leaning-trend, Hurst 0.29 mean-reverting, HMM calm 99.98% — a transitional/choppy tape with a sharp, clean fresh downleg into oversold. 2. LEAN CHECK: two-sided but short-term momentum clearly favors continuation down (net -4.6% 4h, -5.1% 12h, -4.2% 24h), while RSI deeply oversold (5m 17.6, 15m 13.3, 1h 27) and price pinned at 5d/20d/90d low with z=-2.4 argue for a bounce — I lean short with the fresh momentum/OI unwind but at modest confidence given stretched oversold. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — oi_momentum accelerating_down, oi_5m_z -2.93, agg_oi -3.7%, taker 0.74 (sellers dominant), price making fresh 20d/90d lows with ER-10 0.82 confirming a clean one-way sell leg; prior DOGE shorts on exactly this setup won +1.17/+1.82%. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the deep multi-TF oversold (1h RSI 27, 15m RSI 13, z -2.4, Hurst 0.29) plus top-trader pos ratio 4.3 long and funding still positive means a sharp mean-reversion bounce could trigger my stop before continuation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.091119; stop above the recent intraday swing/invalidation at 0.09320 (~2.3% — within 1h atr 1.4% range given rv at 98th pctile); stretch target down at 0.08900 (~2.4% below, R:R ~1.06), an honest structural extension of the fresh-low leg, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold cuts continuation odds, so p_tp1 44, p_sl 39, p_expire 17.
How to read this page
Every Drishti Pro signal is published when it is issued and scored when it closes: target hit, stop hit, or 24-hour expiry. Nothing is deleted. Expired signals stay public but are excluded from the win-rate denominator. The live aggregate is at /api/stats.json; the method is on the engineering page.
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.