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DOGEUSD short — 12 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.083047 and hit its target at 0.081729 after 1.1 hours, closing at +1.59%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-12 23:05 |
| Entry | 0.083047 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08485 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.081729 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08085 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.22 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.081729 |
| Realized P&L | +1.59% |
| Time open | 1.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish across 5m/15m/1h/4h, 1h ADX 33.4 slope +6.3 (strong and still strengthening), choppiness 34.4 (<38 trending), ER-10 0.62 (clean recent one-way), Hurst 0.49 random-walk, HMM calm 99.97% — a genuine, strengthening bear trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — net_move_4h -2.5%, 12h -4.7%, 24h -4.3%, price -4.3% on the day sitting near 5d lows. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend + flow confluence — full_bearish MTF with strengthening ADX, OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -2.0, agg_oi 24h -8.8%, oi_change_recent_half -9.6%) signaling a continuing long unwind, taker ratio 0.89 (sell pressure), all trend-aligned down. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 26 oversold and top_trader_pos_ratio 3.35 (heavily long) hint at a possible mean-reversion bounce; a reclaim of ~0.0845 with buy flow would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.083047, stop above the 4h structure/recent swing at 0.08485 (~2.17% away, ~0.9x atr span, beyond invalidation), take_profit_1 stretch down at 0.08085 (~2.65% / ~1.22x stop distance) toward prior support, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold condition tempers downside follow-through but trend+flow dominant.
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