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ETHUSD short — 12 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on ETHUSD entered at 2,451.8 and hit its target at 2,422.5 after 1 hours, closing at +1.19%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-12 23:05 |
| Entry | 2,451.8 |
| Stop-loss | 2,493 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,422.5 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,403 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.19 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,422.5 |
| Realized P&L | +1.19% |
| Time open | 1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Clean bear trend — mtf full_bearish 4/4, 1h ADX 30.6 slope +4.5 (strengthening), choppiness 34.6 (<38 strongly trending), ER-10 0.74 (clean one-way), HMM calm; price z -1.44, net_move_24h -3.30%. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — momentum negative across 4h/12h/24h, OI bleeding (oi_15m_z -2.66, accelerating_down), taker_1h 0.714 sell-heavy, agg_oi_24h -5.33%. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — full bearish EMA stack across all four TFs with strengthening ADX and accelerating OI unwind confirms sellers pressing lower; funding only mildly positive so no squeeze fuel against the move. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m/15m RSI deeply oversold (14.9/18.3) risks a sharp mean-revert bounce off the 5d low (+1.503% below mark). 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2451.81; stop above the recent intraday reclaim at 2493.0 (~1.68%, just over the realized 4h range); stretch target 2403.0 (~1.99% below, ~1.19x stop distance, toward prior support/round level), inside clamps, RR ~1.19. 6. EXPECTATION: trend strong but oversold stretch argues for meaningful bounce/expire odds.
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