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DOGEUSD short — 13 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.082028 and hit its target at 0.08015 after 32 minutes, closing at +2.29%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-13 00:20 |
| Entry | 0.082028 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08385 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.080901 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08015 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.03 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.08015 |
| Realized P&L | +2.29% |
| Time open | 32 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish across 5m/15m/1h/4h, 1h ADX 36.3 slope +7.1 (strong and still strengthening), choppiness 29.2 (<38 strongly trending), ER-10 0.64 (clean recent one-way), Hurst 0.49 random-walk, HMM calm 99.72% — a genuine, strengthening bear trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — net_move_4h -3.9%, 12h -4.8%, 24h -5.8%, price -5.7% on the day sitting at 5d/20d lows (dist 20d_low +0.49%). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — full bearish MTF stack with accelerating OI (oi_momentum accelerating_down, oi_5m_z -1.78, agg_oi -8.97%) confirms longs capitulating into fresh lows; funding z -1.44/-1.56 (shorts not yet crowded) leaves room to extend. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI deeply oversold on 15m (18.6)/1h (21.7) + z-score -1.70 + top-trader pos ratio 3.08 (heavily long) raise bounce risk — a reclaim of the 0.0848 5d-low shelf would invalidate the continuation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.082028; stop_loss 0.08385 just above the broken intraday shelf/1h EMA (stop ~2.2%, within atr/rv range); take_profit_1 0.08015 at the measured continuation extension (~2.3% / RR ~1.03, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend favors continuation but oversold stretch invites a counter-bounce.
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