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ETHUSD short — 13 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on ETHUSD entered at 2,422.2 and stopped out at 2,468 after 1.8 hours, closing at -1.89%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-13 00:20 |
| Entry | 2,422.2 |
| Stop-loss | 2,468 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,387.9 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,365 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 2,468 |
| Realized P&L | -1.89% |
| Time open | 1.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Clean bear trend — mtf full_bearish 4/4, 1h ADX 33.2 slope +6.0 (strengthening), choppiness 29.7 (<38 strongly trending), ER-10 0.76 (clean one-way), HMM calm hi-conf; price z -1.73, net_move_24h -4.82%. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — momentum negative across 4h/12h/24h, OI bleeding hard (oi_15m_z -2.54, accelerating_down, agg_oi_24h -6.57%), taker_1h 0.79 sell-heavy, recent taker buckets soft. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — full_bearish stack with strengthening ADX and accelerating OI unwind is the dominant evidence; price just made fresh 20d/90d lows (near 20d_low +0.30%). 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI deeply oversold (5m 17, 15m 13, 1h 20) + top-trader pos ratio still long 1.51 — a sharp oversold-bounce reclaim of ~2460 would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above intraday structure at 2468 (just over the recent lower-high / ~1.9% = ~0.9x the 24h RV range); target the stretch down toward 2365 — a clean round-structure level ~2.4% below, giving ~1.25x R:R, inside the 4% clamp and reachable given 1.6% avg 24h traversal with momentum running. 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned with momentum but deeply oversold raises bounce odds.
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