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DOGEUSD short — 15 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.078633 and stopped out at 0.08045 after 59 minutes, closing at -2.31%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-15 14:05 |
| Entry | 0.078633 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08045 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.077443 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07665 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.09 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08045 |
| Realized P&L | -2.31% |
| Time open | 59 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish across 5m/15m/1h/4h, 1h ADX 42.4 slope +3.0 (strong trend, still strengthening), 4h ADX 50.7, choppiness 49.2 (neutral), ER-30 0.43, Hurst 0.44 mean-reverting, HMM calm 99.97% — a genuine, strengthening bear trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — price -4.6% on day, net_move_4h -1.99% / 12h -1.92% / 24h -4.60%, OI collapsing -36% (longs flushing). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend-aligned momentum — full bearish stack + rising ADX + accelerating_down OI with -36% OI unwind confirms longs capitulating; taker ratio 0.93 and agg funding z -2.0 (shorts not yet crowded) leave room to extend. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h RSI 27.6 (oversold) + rolling z -2.2 + sitting right on the 5d/20d/90d low (+0.29%) and top-trader pos ratio 2.47 long — a reflex bounce off the extreme would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.078633, stop above the recent swing/invalidation at 0.080450 (~2.3% / ~1x 24h ATR), stretch target 0.076650 toward the next low extension (~2.5% down, R:R ~1.1, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but oversold-at-extreme tempers follow-through — p_tp1 46, p_sl 34, p_expire 20.
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