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DOGEUSD short — 18 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.076367 and stopped out at 0.07791 after 2.3 hours, closing at -2.02%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-18 19:39 |
| Entry | 0.076367 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07785 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.075211 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07444 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.30 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.07791 |
| Realized P&L | -2.02% |
| Time open | 2.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish across 5m/15m/1h/4h, 1h ADX 37.98 slope +2.26 (genuine trend, strengthening), 4h ADX 67.4 (very strong downtrend), choppiness 38.1 (at trending threshold), ER-10 0.87 (clean one-way short-term move), Hurst 0.40 mean-reverting, HMM calm 99.95% — a clean, accelerating bear trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — price -4.39% day, net_move_4h -1.46%/12h -3.31%/24h -4.24%, rolling z -2.38 (stretched below mean), full bear stack. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is HTF trend alignment — 4/4 bear stack with 4h ADX 67 and 1h ADX rising, ER-10 0.87 confirms the recent descent is a clean impulse, not chop; this asset's track record favors trend-aligned shorts (62.5% wr) and recent same-regime shorts won twice/lost once. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI deeply oversold on all TFs (5m 20, 15m 23, 1h 25, 4h 28) and rolling z -2.38 — a reflexive oversold bounce could reclaim the broken level and stop a fresh short; taker ratio 1.16 and oi_momentum accelerating_up hint at short-term dip-buying. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.076367, stop above the recent 4h swing/invalidation at 0.07785 (~1.94%, within 1h atr/rv range), take_profit_1 the stretch down at 0.07444 (~2.52% = ~1.3x stop distance, inside clamps) toward continuation below the day's low. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but oversold stretch raises bounce risk — p_tp1 48, p_sl 35, p_expire 17.
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