Home › Signals › October 2026 › BTCUSD
BTCUSD short — 18 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on BTCUSD entered at 81,134.2 and stopped out at 82,420 after 7.1 hours, closing at -1.58%.
| Asset | BTCUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-18 17:39 |
| Entry | 81,134.2 |
| Stop-loss | 82,420 |
| Take-profit 1 | 80,135.7 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 79,470 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.29 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 82,420 |
| Realized P&L | -1.58% |
| Time open | 7.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bearish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear-aligned), 1h ADX 19 slope +2.7 firming, 4h ADX 47.5 strong, choppiness 39.7 (trending edge), ER_10 0.28/ER_30 0.09 (noisy path but net down), Hurst 0.38 mean-reverting, HMM calm — a bear trend with a noisy but downward path pressing near lows. 2. LEAN CHECK: SHORT lean — net moves negative across all horizons (-0.45/-0.69/-0.25%), price -3.07% from 5d high and -3.62% from 20d/90d high, rolling z -1.52 (stretched below mean), OI bleeding (-0.94% 24h, agg -0.70%, oi_z -1.1). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — full_bearish stack across all four TFs with firming 1h ADX and strong 4h ADX, taker ratio 0.915 (sellers edging), OI unwinding into the move = longs capitulating, SPX -1.1% and VIX +21% risk-off macro tailwind. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top-trader pos ratio 1.74 long and funding only mildly positive (z +0.71) with price at a stretched z-score of -1.52 risks a mean-reversion bounce/reclaim back above ~82.5k that would void the bear thesis. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 81,134; stop above recent structure / invalidation at 82,420 (1.59% / ~0.64x of the 2.73% ADR, below the 1.5x RV cap); stretch target 79,470 just above the 5d-low vicinity, giving ~1.65k reward vs 1.29k risk ≈ 1.28R, within clamps and reachable given ~0.92% typical 24h traversal in a trending tape. 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned but stretched short, calm regime — p_tp1 44, p_sl 36, p_expire 20.
How to read this page
Every Drishti Pro signal is published when it is issued and scored when it closes: target hit, stop hit, or 24-hour expiry. Nothing is deleted. Expired signals stay public but are excluded from the win-rate denominator. The live aggregate is at /api/stats.json; the method is on the engineering page.
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.