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DOGEUSD short — 18 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.078735 and stopped out at 0.08005 after 4 hours, closing at -1.67%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-18 22:09 |
| Entry | 0.078735 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08005 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.077814 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.0772 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.17 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08005 |
| Realized P&L | -1.67% |
| Time open | 4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/1h/15m all bear_aligned (5m mixed), mtf 2/4, 1h ADX 36.7 slope -1.4 (fading), 4h ADX 67 very strong downtrend, choppiness 42.7 neutral, ER-10 0.14 / ER-30 0.04 (noisy nets-nowhere path), Hurst 0.39 mean-reverting, HMM calm 99.95% — strong HTF bear structure but a dead, choppy intraday path. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest short lean on HTF bear stack, but a fresh 4h bounce (+1.20%) and 5m RSI 74 overbought with falling 1h ADX muddies it — bias to fade the bounce into the trend. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: dominant cluster is HTF trend alignment (3 TFs bear_aligned, 4h ADX 67) plus funding z -2.8 (crowded-short unwind spent) and net_move_12h/24h still negative; this asset's track record is heavily short-biased and short-side wins here. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the 5m overbought bounce extends and reclaims the 5d-high area / 1h EMAs flip bull — a genuine trend break invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.078735; stop above the recent bounce high / 1h structure at 0.08005 (~1.67% / under 1x rv); target down toward the 24h low zone at 0.07720 (~1.68% down, R:R ~1.0, inside 1.5x/4% clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: choppy mean-reverting path keeps p_expire meaningful; short trend edge modest but real.
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