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SOLUSD short — 18 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 103.0694 and stopped out at 105.18 after 3.9 hours, closing at -2.05%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-18 22:09 |
| Entry | 103.0694 |
| Stop-loss | 105.18 |
| Take-profit 1 | 101.7978 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 100.95 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.00 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 105.18 |
| Realized P&L | -2.05% |
| Time open | 3.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/1h/15m EMA stacks all bear_aligned with 4h ADX 40.1 a strong bear anchor and 1h ADX 25 slope +0.03 flat; ER10 0.18 / ER30 0.01 / choppiness 44.8 / Hurst 0.38 flag a noisy mean-reverting path inside a genuine 4h DOWN trend, HMM calm conf 1.0. 2. LEAN CHECK: SHORT lean — the dominant HTF bear stack anchors the side despite a short-term oversold bounce (5m RSI 76, net +0.78% last 4h). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned SHORT — 4h bear stack + ADX 40 is the strongest cluster; OI momentum accelerating_down (oi_change_recent_half -0.74%) and agg funding deeply negative z -2.1 confirm the down-trend is unwinding longs; price is only -4.6% from 5d high so the bounce into 5m overbought is a sell-the-rip spot. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the 5m overbought push (RSI 76, taker ratio 1.34, top-trader pos ratio 2.04 long) could extend if price reclaims the ~105 area and the 15m stack flips bull — that invalidates the fade. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 105.18 beyond the 5d-high resistance / bounce structure (~2.05% = ~1.1x the 1.9% avg 24h traversal); take_profit_1 101.00 at the recent consolidation low (~2.01% below, R:R ~0.98→ trim stop) — set TP 100.95 for R:R ~1.0, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned fade into an overbought 5m bounce, base-rate 63.5% asset WR but counter to the immediate 4h momentum; p_tp1 45 / p_sl 38 / p_expire 17.
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