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DOGEUSD short — 18 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.077556 and hit its target at 0.076574 after 3.7 hours, closing at +1.27%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-18 15:54 |
| Entry | 0.077556 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07885 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.076574 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07592 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.26 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.076574 |
| Realized P&L | +1.27% |
| Time open | 3.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish across 5m/15m/1h/4h, 1h ADX 34.6 slope +3.3 (genuine trend, strengthening), 4h ADX 66 (very strong downtrend), choppiness 42 neutral, ER-10 0.51/ER-30 0.27, Hurst 0.41 mean-reverting, HMM calm 99.95% — clean, strengthening bear trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — price -2.07% day, net_move_4h -2.48%/12h -2.97%/24h -2.32%, full bear stack, ADX rising. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — full MTF bearish with strengthening 1h ADX and fresh 4h momentum; agg funding z -1.53 (unwinding/no long crowding) and taker ratio 0.88 (sell-skewed) confirm sellers in control; price sits at 5d/20d/90d low. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI deeply oversold (1h 30, 15m 29) + z-score -2.14 + top-trader pos ratio 2.78 long — a mean-reversion bounce off the lows is the main risk. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.077556; stop above the invalidation at the recent reclaim zone 0.07885 (~1.67% / ~0.84x the ~2% daily traversal); target the next downside extension at 0.07592 (~1.70x? check: risk 0.001294, reward 0.001636 → RR 1.26, inside 1.5x clamp, ~2.1% from entry inside 4% clamp). 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but oversold stretch warns of bounce — p_tp1 46, p_sl 36, p_expire 18.
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