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DOGEUSD short — 29 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.077674 and stopped out at 0.07915 after 10 hours, closing at -1.90%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-29 02:42 |
| Entry | 0.077674 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07915 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.076562 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07582 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.26 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.07915 |
| Realized P&L | -1.90% |
| Time open | 10 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 2/4 mixed (5m & 4h bear_aligned, 15m & 1h mixed), 1h ADX 29.1 but slope -1.35 (genuine yet fading), choppiness 40.1 (neutral-to-trending edge), ER-10 0.40 / ER-30 0.08 (recent impulse inside a longer flat/noisy path), Hurst 0.50 neutral, HMM calm 99.99%, RV 24h ~78th pctile (elevated) — a fading-trend, low-conviction tape with a fresh downside impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: short lean — net -2.71%/4h, -2.21%/24h, taker ratio 0.68 (heavy sell flow, last 3 buckets all <0.86), OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -2.84) confirming position-flush on the way down. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: downside flow cluster is strongest — fresh -2.7% 4h impulse with sell-dominated takers and accelerating_down OI (longs being flushed, not fresh shorts piling), trend-aligned with 5m/4h bear stacks. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m RSI 21.7 / 15m RSI 18.9 are deeply oversold — a mean-revert bounce off the 5d-low proximity (+2.6% from 20d low) would invalidate; top-trader pos ratio 3.55 (longs leaning in) adds bounce risk. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.077674; stop above the recent intraday swing at 0.079150 (≈1.90% / within RV); stretch TP down at 0.075820 (≈2.39% move, R:R ≈1.26) targeting the 20d-low retest zone, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold conditions cap downside follow-through; p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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