Home › Signals › October 2026 › AAVEUSD
AAVEUSD short — 29 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on AAVEUSD entered at 129.4848 and stopped out at 133.1 after 8.6 hours, closing at -2.79%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-29 02:12 |
| Entry | 129.4848 |
| Stop-loss | 133.1 |
| Take-profit 1 | 127.1839 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 125.65 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.06 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 133.1 |
| Realized P&L | -2.79% |
| Time open | 8.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Bear-trend undertone — 1h/4h EMA bear_aligned, 5m bear/15m mixed, ADX_1h 23.8 slope -1.37 (genuine but fading), choppiness 41.6 (neutral-trending), ER-10 0.19 / ER-30 0.12 (netting little — choppy path), Hurst 0.44 mean-reverting, HMM calm 0.9999. 2. LEAN CHECK: Modest SHORT lean on fresh impulse but conflicted by extreme oversold + near 5d/20d lows — tape is one-sided down yet stretched. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: Short is trend-aligned — fresh down impulse net -3.96% 4h / -4.36% 24h, 1h/4h bear-aligned, taker 0.82 (sell pressure), agg OI -6.0% + oi_5m_z -3.1 (positions leaving on the way down), 100% of 4h liqs are longs. BUT RSI 23 on 5m/15m, price sitting exactly at 5d/20d/90d low (+0.06%), rolling z -1.54 — this is deeply oversold. Counter to short: top_trader_pos_ratio 2.62 heavily long, funding only mildly positive. The clean bear trend + fresh impulse tilts short, but the extreme oversold + sitting ON the low argues the easy down-move is largely spent. 4. PRE-MORTEM: A reclaim bounce off the 90d low with RSI mean-reverting back up — oversold snapback would stop a short quickly. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: Entry 129.48; stop above recent structure / 4h swing at 133.10 (2.8% ~ within rv range); target the measured continuation toward 125.65 (R:R ~1.06, ~2.96% move, within 24h atr given rv 92nd pctile). 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned but heavily oversold at a structural low — modest edge, elevated expire risk.
How to read this page
Every Drishti Pro signal is published when it is issued and scored when it closes: target hit, stop hit, or 24-hour expiry. Nothing is deleted. Expired signals stay public but are excluded from the win-rate denominator. The live aggregate is at /api/stats.json; the method is on the engineering page.
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.