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DOGEUSD short — 30 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.075048 and stopped out at 0.07665 after 3.1 hours, closing at -2.13%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-30 02:27 |
| Entry | 0.075048 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07665 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.073909 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07315 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.18 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.07665 |
| Realized P&L | -2.13% |
| Time open | 3.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish (all TFs bear_aligned), 1h ADX 33.2 slope +5.68 (genuine trend, strengthening), choppiness 32.2 (<38 strongly trending), ER-10 0.56 vs ER-30 0.32 (clean recent one-way), Hurst 0.37 (mean-reverting lean), HMM calm 99.6%, RV-24h 119% / 100th pctile (extreme) — a genuine, accelerating downtrend in very high-vol tape near 20d lows. 2. LEAN CHECK: clearly bearish — full MTF bear stack + accelerating_down OI + fresh -6% 12h impulse. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the OI/flow cluster confirms the trend — oi_change_24h -12.8%, agg_oi -11.6%, oi_15m_z -2.38, oi_momentum accelerating_down (shorts pressing as price falls, longs liquidated 98% of 4h liq share), taker ratio 0.95 (<1 selling), all aligned to the bear 4h stack. 4. PRE-MORTEM: rolling_z -2.05 and Hurst 0.37 flag a stretched/mean-reverting condition — top-traders are heavily long (pos ratio 3.3) and a short-squeeze reclaim of the 5d-low area (~0.0760) would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.075048; stop above the broken intraday structure/reclaim at 0.07665 (~2.1% — within ~0.5-1.5x of the elevated RV/ATR range); stretch TP down at 0.07315 (~2.6% / ~1.2x stop distance) at the next downside leg, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: strengthening trend but very stretched and top-traders counter-positioned, so SL risk is real.
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