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DOGEUSD short — 2 Nov 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.073279 and stopped out at 0.07449 after 2.3 hours, closing at -1.65%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-11-02 19:38 |
| Entry | 0.073279 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07448 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.072524 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07202 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.05 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.07449 |
| Realized P&L | -1.65% |
| Time open | 2.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish (all TFs bear_aligned), 1h ADX 24.7 slope +7.68 (genuine trend, strengthening fast), choppiness 47.1 (mid), ER-10 0.78 clean recent one-way vs ER-30 0.34, Hurst 0.31 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.99%, RV-24h 63.8th pctile — a genuine, accelerating downtrend near fresh lows. 2. LEAN CHECK: clearly bearish — full MTF bearish stack + strengthening ADX + fresh 4h/12h/24h net moves all ~-2.4%. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend+structure — 4/4 bear alignment with ADX rising sharply, price at 5d/20d/90d low (dist 0.000) and ER-10 0.78 showing clean one-way descent; this is trend-aligned short. 4. PRE-MORTEM: oversold RSI (1h 23.5, 15m 23.9) + z-20d -2.35 (stretched) + Hurst mean-reverting + top-trader pos ratio 3.0 long could spark a sharp reclaim bounce. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above recent micro-structure beyond the 4h ATR (1.54%) at 0.074480 (~1.64% above); stretch target down at 0.072120 (~1.58% below, ~0.96x stop distance, R:R ~0.96) — tempered because oversold stretch limits downside follow-through; adjust TP to 0.072020 for R:R >=1.0. 6. EXPECTATION: trend favors short but oversold/stretched tape raises bounce risk.
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