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SOLUSD short — 2 Nov 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 91.7936 and stopped out at 93.65 after 19.6 hours, closing at -2.02%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-11-02 17:53 |
| Entry | 91.7936 |
| Stop-loss | 93.65 |
| Take-profit 1 | 90.6274 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 89.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.05 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 93.65 |
| Realized P&L | -2.02% |
| Time open | 19.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment full_bearish 4/4 (all TFs bear_aligned), 1h ADX 18.5 slope +3.0 (firming off low base), choppiness 44, ER10 0.66 / ER30 0.34, Hurst 0.23 (anti-persistent), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a low-vol tape that leans bearish but is freshly stretched, not a clean impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: short is the trend-aligned side (bear EMA stack every TF, net -2.7% 4h / -3.3% 12h) but price just printed a fresh 5d/20d/90d low (dist +0.000) with rolling z -2.30 (deeply stretched) and RSI oversold on every TF (5m 22, 1h 25) — chasing the exact low is risky, so I take the trend-aligned short at reduced conviction with a tight target. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend cluster (full_bearish MTF + accelerating OI into the drop, oi_momentum accelerating_up with agg OI +2% and price falling = fresh shorts, taker ratio 0.98 sub-1) favors continuation down; this is the dominant evidence. 4. PRE-MORTEM: with RSI oversold across all TFs, z -2.30 and price sitting on a fresh low, a sharp mean-reversion bounce (reclaim of ~93.3) would invalidate — top-trader pos ratio 2.38 (longs leaning in) hints that risk is real. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above the recent 4h swing / reclaim zone at 93.65 (~2.0% above, within 1h atr-driven range); stretch target 89.85 (~2.1% below) at the next structural extension, R:R ~1.05, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold stretch caps follow-through odds but trend+flow align; p_tp1 42, p_sl 38, p_expire 20.
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