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DOGEUSD short — 4 Nov 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.072948 and stopped out at 0.07442 after 1.8 hours, closing at -2.02%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-11-04 03:08 |
| Entry | 0.072948 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07442 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.071899 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.0712 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.19 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.07442 |
| Realized P&L | -2.02% |
| Time open | 1.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish (all TFs bear_aligned), 1h ADX 28.7 slope +1.29 (genuine trend, mildly strengthening), ADX-20 20.7, choppiness 33 (strongly trending), ER-10 0.71 clean recent one-way vs ER-30 0.20, Hurst 0.33 (mean-reverting), HMM calm — a genuine accelerating downtrend near fresh lows. 2. LEAN CHECK: clearly short — full MTF bear stack + fresh -3.1% 4h move + accelerating_down OI (oi_5m_z -2.77) all point down; the only counterweight is stretched/oversold stats. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — full_bearish 4/4 EMA stack, choppiness 33 (strongly trending, not chop), fresh -3.1% 4h momentum, OI accelerating_down into fresh 5d/20d/90d lows (dist_from_low 0.000) and taker ratio 0.666 (sellers dominant). 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is oversold across TFs (5m RSI 17, 15m 21, 1h 28), z-20d -2.07, top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.84) — a mean-reversion bounce off lows invalidates the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.072948; stop above the fresh 4h swing structure at 0.074420 (~2.0% = ~1.2x of avg_move_24h and within rv band); stretch TP at 0.071200 (~2.4% down, structural continuation below round 0.072), R:R ~1.19. 6. EXPECTATION: trend is strong but oversold risks a bounce; p_tp1 48, p_sl 34, p_expire 18.
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