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SOLUSD short — 4 Nov 2026 (stopped out)

This short on SOLUSD entered at 91.5547 and stopped out at 93.42 after 3.1 hours, closing at -2.04%.

AssetSOLUSD
Directionshort
Issued (UTC)2026-11-04 04:23
Entry91.5547
Stop-loss93.42
Take-profit 190.2319
Take-profit 2 (stretch)89.35
Reward:risk at entry1.18
Outcomestopped out
Close price93.42
Realized P&L-2.04%
Time open3.1 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: full_bearish MTF 4/4 (every TF bear_aligned), 4h ADX 36 / 1h ADX 25.4 slope +2.9 (firming), choppiness 40.7 (trending edge), Hurst 0.28 (anti-persistent), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a genuine bear trend with near-term impulse still pressing down (net -1.1% 4h, -2.19% 12h). 2. LEAN CHECK: short is clearly trend-aligned; every EMA stack bearish, OI unwinding into the drop, taker ratio 0.918 (sellers lead). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend+flow — full bear alignment plus oi_momentum accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -1.1, OI -2.2% recent half) with price breaking lower on sub-1 taker ratio = sustained distribution, not a bounce. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits only +0.69% off the 5d/20d/90d low with z -1.67 (stretched) — a reclaim of ~93.5 with momentum would flip the near-term and risks the mean-revert snap that cost prior shorts. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 91.55, stop above recent structure / the stretched-bounce zone at 93.42 (~2.04% = ~0.48x rv_24h, sane); target the push into fresh lows at 89.35 (~2.40% = ~1.18x the stop distance, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: trend firm but price stretched low raises bounce/expire odds.

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